10
Talk To The Master
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 11 · OR 98
Turffontein · Betway Joburg Spring Challenge (Grade 2) · 7f 46y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | 2 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 66/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 22/02/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 90% | +0.06 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 91% | +0.01 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 69% | -0.13 |