3

Bisou Bisou

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 102

Turffontein · Betway Mr 96 Handicap · 5f 212y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Winner here in June. 3/1, first run since leaving C. Spies when very good third of 6 in handicap at this C&D (good) 21 days ago. Will take the beating.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13214/06C8C0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C?C0 @ Greyville 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C?C5 @ Turffontein 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS12/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Turffontein?3rd3rd+0
2026-07-26Greyville?2nd-4th+5
2026-07-04Greyville?13th7th+5
2026-06-14Turffontein?1st4th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/064/0726/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
04/07/202613th10/147%8%-0.40
26/07/20262nd22/10%92%+0.92
12/09/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26