9
Halberdier
6yo Gelding · 8-4 · Draw 2 · OR 62
Turffontein · Betway Mr 96 Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Turffontein | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Vaal | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vaal | ? | 10th | 10th | −0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Turffontein | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Vaal | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 29/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |