2

It's Personal

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 80

Turffontein · Betway Mr 96 Handicap · 5f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

4-time course winner. Five wins from 19 Flat runs. Latest win here in July. 4/1, respectable third of 6 in handicap at this course (5f, good) 35 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Turffontein 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1286/09C6C6 @ Turffontein 11/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 135C5 @ Vaal 22/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12022/01C5C5 @ Turffontein 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y GS 120C6 @ Turffontein 12/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13312/04C6C5 @ Vaal 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y 125C6 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13818/06C6C5 @ Turffontein 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 125C5 @ Turffontein 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13029/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Turffontein?3rd3rd−0
2026-07-25Turffontein?1st1st−0
2026-06-18Vaal?5th6th−1
2026-05-26Vaal?5th5th−0
2026-04-12Turffontein?1st2nd−1
2026-02-14Turffontein?5th5th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0914/0218/0629/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20252nd13/266%89%+0.23
11/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
22/01/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15
14/02/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
12/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
26/05/20265th13/891%60%-0.31
18/06/20265th9/276%50%-0.26
25/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
29/08/20263rd4/179%60%-0.19