1
Plus Four
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 4 · OR 76
Turffontein · Betway Mr 96 Handicap · 5f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Vaal | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-02-24 | Vaal | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |