2

Continental King

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 2 · OR 69

Turffontein · Betway Mr 84 Handicap · 5f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Respectable third of 7 in handicap at this course (5f, good, 9/2) 14 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turffontein 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13013/11C8C8 @ Turffontein 07/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 1327/12C8C8 @ Turffontein 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f169y Gd 13227/12C8C6 @ Vaal 27/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 12127/01C6C6 @ Turffontein 19/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/09C6projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Turffontein?3rd3rd+0
2026-01-27Vaal?3rd3rd0
2025-12-27Turffontein?1st3rd−2
2025-12-07Turffontein?3rd5th−2
2025-11-13Turffontein?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/117/1227/1227/0119/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 67/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength46%

Delivery trend -10.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20256th18/15%50%+0.45
07/12/20253rd11/486%83%-0.02
27/12/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
27/01/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
19/09/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12