6
Highwayman Harry
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 75
Turffontein · Betway Mr 84 Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Turffontein | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Turffontein | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-21 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Vaal | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-07 | Turffontein | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turffontein | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 16th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 08/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 07/02/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 21/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |