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15:56 · Uttoxeter

QuinnBet Handicap Chase

3m 10yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 81
2/1
Jo Arengeot Bey Aa silks

Mr N Hartley

Jo Arengeot Bey Aa

7yo Gelding · 10-11

Polarix - Totoche Bey (Kapgarde)

G Sheehan60%1/4D McCain Jnr90%
61P233
8.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +21st Visor +2

Belatedly opened his account under Rules in handicap over C&D in May. Placed last 3 starts, though looked lacklustre in a headgear change (visored) when third of 6 in handicap chase at Worcester (23f, good to soft) last time. Still a likely player at these weights.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/0221/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%26/02Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%28/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-468/100
7
3
OR 75
7/2
Fane Court silks

Mr Mark E Smith

Fane Court

8yo Gelding · 10-5

Court Cave - Fane Princess (Kotashaan)

Lewis StonesD J Jeffreys60%
4P4323
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Went close to opening his account under Rules in 23f handicap hurdle at Worcester in July and not disgraced when third at Bangor (23f, good) since. Pulled up on his chasing bow at Exeter in March but this winning pointer may still do better back in this sphere in first-time headgear.

Class Advantage

12/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/021/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 14%12/02Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 73%13/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%16/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%8/09
Projected finish2nd of 7
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-468/100
4
2
OR 82
16/1
Another Mystery silks

Mrs S J Humphrey

Another Mystery

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Norse Dancer - Misstree Pitcher (Relief Pitcher)

Tabitha Worsley70%1/3Mrs S J Humphrey80%
53PU15
5.0
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

Only one to complete when opening his account over fences in 4-runner handicap at Fakenham (3m) in April. Not at his best when a remote fifth of 7 at Southwell (3m, good) in June. Can't be trusted.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par2/0326/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par3/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par1/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%2/03Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%3/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%6/04Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%9/06
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%3-759/100
1
Market Fav4
OR 98
6/4
Better Off Alone silks

David Maughan

Better Off Alone

7yo Gelding · 12-0

Ocovango - Tina's Truffles (Milan)

Freddie Keighley60%0/2−5lbM Keighley60%
PP34P3
6.0Class ↓3
1st Visor +2

Runner-up in 23f maiden hurdle early in 2025. Best run in this sphere after 6 months off when third of 6 in handicap at Worcester (23f, good) last month. Can go very well off a 2 lb lower mark in a change of headgear (visor on for first time) if keeping errors to a minimum.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0925/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/12 · mark par14/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par4/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%27/09Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 83%31/01Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%14/02Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%4/09
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-646/100
2
5
OR 88
33/1
A Dublin Job silks

Moorland Racing And Mark Hammond

A Dublin Job

9yo Gelding · 11-4

Ask - Coppervega (Toulon)

James Best60%0/4S-J Davies
5565U6
3.0Class ↓3

Successful first 3 starts over fences for Harry Derham but has struggled for his new yard this season, beating only two in 8-runner handicap here (2½m, good) last time. Can only be watched at present.

Class Advantage

24/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par24/0513/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%24/05Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 20%7/07Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%15/08Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%15/09
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%4-768/100
5
6
OR 81
16/1
Izzy's Grey silks

Shininmoon

Izzy's Grey

7yo Gelding · 10-11

Jukebox Jury - Shamble Street (Bob Back)

Lee Edwards0/10B Clarke70%
644206
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Is 0-16 over hurdles but went close to making a winning start in this sphere over C&D in June, some wayward jumping proving costly. Well below that form over C&D and at Worcester subsequently however. Has it to prove now.

Class Advantage

26/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par26/0310/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%26/03Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%24/05Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 11 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 11 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 23%24/07Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%4-768/100
3
7
OR 85
25/1
Bravethewaves silks

The Brave Bunch

Bravethewaves

9yo Gelding · 11-1

Gentlewave - Miss Lucky Penny (Karinga Bay)

Toby Wynne60%4/11O Greenall & J Guerriero80%
471750
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Won handicap chases at Southwell and Doncaster last season. No show last 3 starts though, including on return from 5 months off at Cartmel (usual mistakes) in August. Hard to warm to.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/1221/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/01 · mark par27/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/02 · mark par24/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 10y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%28/12Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%27/02Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%11/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%29/08
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%7-790/100