17:30 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Top UK Bookmakers EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 14yStandardClass 32YO onlyALLWEATHER13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
4/1
Engraved silks

Mr Wong Chung Mat

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 3

Mehmas - Dawn Horizons (New Approach)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/2J R Fanshawe60%
28
5.0Class ↓2

200,000 gns breeze-up purchase. Made a promising start with second in 7f Ffos Las maiden in August but stiff task when well held in listed race at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) 25 days ago. Remains with potential back in these calmer waters.

Class Advantage

12/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/0811/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength23%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%12/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%11/09
Projected finish1st of 13
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%5-571/100
12
3
OR 76
10/1
Ten Clarets silks

Mr D Bardsley & Mrs E Burke

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 9

Ten Sovereigns - Sky Bright (Dawn Approach)

C Lee70%0/3K R Burke70%
42339
4.0
Cheek pieces

Fair form when in the frame on his first 4 starts but a below-par ninth of 15 in sales event at the Curragh (6f, good to soft) last time. Makes all-weather debut with cheekpieces back on.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/066/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%13/06Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 89%6/07Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%23/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%27/08Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%13/09
Projected finish2nd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
92%1-1323/100
13
6
5/1
Unerring silks

Mr Eric Chen

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 5

Camelot - Jazz Cat (Tamayuz)

R Havlin60%J & T Gosden80%
No form3.0
1st Hood +1

Foaled March 13. Camelot colt. Brother to useful 2-y-o 8.6f winner Alexandroupolis and also a half-brother to 6f winner Music Banner. Hooded for debut but represents top yard and must be of interest.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength74%
5
4
7/1
Geometry silks

Ace Stud

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 6

Kodiac - Fountain Of Time (Iffraaj)

Ray Dawson60%R Varian60%
3
4.0

Kodiac colt shaped encouragingly when third of 7 in novice at Newcastle (7f, 11/8) on his debut 31 days ago. Clearly thought capable of better and not out of things.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a5/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%5/09
Projected finish4th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-650/100
8
5
6/1
One For Bruce silks

Valmont

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 8

Ubettabelieveit - Let It Be Me (Mizzen Mast)

H Crouch60%J Tate60%
3
6.0

Sent off 5/2 when a promising debut third of 6 in novice at Newmarket (6f, good) in August, running on when hampered late on. This son of Ubettabelieveit seems sure to build on it. Likely player.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%22/08
Projected finish5th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-650/100
10
8
7/1
Sayaarr silks

ARM Racing

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 1

Dark Angel - Nawassi (Dubawi)

Connor Beasley60%E Bethell
No form3.0

Foaled April 12. 170,000 gns yearling, Dark Angel colt. Brother to French 2-y-o 5.5f/6f winner Kumite and half-brother to 5f winner Al Wosol. In good hands and appeals on paper so needs considering.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 1358% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength63%
11
Value2
11/2
Speyside silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 13

Blue Point - Miss Latin (Galileo)

Jason Hart60%H Palmer80%
30
4.0

Promising initial third in 7f Goodwood maiden but went backwards when well held in another 7f maiden at York later in August. Worth another chance.

Class Advantage

1/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0821/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 83%1/08Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 23%21/08
Projected finish7th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%13-1371/100
7
7
8/1
Meeting Point silks

Godolphin

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 4

Space Blues - Duchess Of Berry (New Approach)

Tom Marquand70%S bin Suroor60%
No form3.0

Foaled May 1. Space Blues colt. Closely related to useful 2-y-o 7f winner Desert Order. Noteworthy newcomer, especially if the market vibes are positive.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 1342% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength58%
2
10
200/1
Distant Sun silks

Mr Andy White

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 12

Australia - Approximate (Dubawi)

Rowan Scott60%E A L Dunlop
98
2.0

Australia gelding has been well held in 1m novices at Windsor and Pontefract this summer. Lots more is needed.

Class Advantage

24/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0824/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%24/08Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 13%24/09
Projected finish9th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%11-1171/100
6
11
12/1
Maxton silks

Mr P W Harris

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 7

Kingman - Star Terms (Sea The Stars)

Marco Ghiani60%Jane Chapple-Hyam
46
3.0

Kingman colt showed promise when a debut fourth in maiden at Lingfield (6f, all-weather) but seemed ill-at-ease on track when sixth of 14 in maiden at Newmarket (7f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Remains open to improvement.

Class Advantage

10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0925/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a25/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%10/09Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 62%25/09
Projected finish10th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%10-1071/100
1
9
33/1
Champion Crown silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 10

Naval Crown - Karjera (Key Of Luck)

D Allan60%J Tate80%
57
2.0
Cheek pieces

Off 3 months (gelded/breathing operation) and fitted with cheekpieces when seventh of 11 in 6f novice here 12 days ago. May do better still with that run under his belt.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0624/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%20/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%24/09
Projected finish11th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%13-1371/100
9
12
33/1
Red Caberneigh silks

Mr Mark Ward

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 2

A'ali - Lulu The Zulu (Danroad)

Alistair Rawlinson60%M Appleby60%
No form3.0

Foaled March 2. A'ali colt. Dam 6f-7.6f winner. The betting can prove an accurate indicator for this newcomer.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish12th of 138% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
4
13
100/1
Fourth Crusade silks

The Royal Ascot Racing Club

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 14

St Mark's Basilica - Balakera (Dansili)

L Morris70%Sir Mark Prescott60%
95
3.0

Well-related St Mark's Basilica colt but well held in 7f novices at Epsom and Ffos Las last month. The sort to do better in due course.

Class Advantage

10/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a10/0927/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a27/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 11%10/09Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%27/09
Projected finish13th of 13
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%13-1371/100