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16:30 · Ffos Las

Dandara Homes Handicap

1m 3f 209yGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 5611/4
Jimmy Mark silks

Mr Peter Lindsey

Jimmy Mark

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Intrinsic - Kodi Da Capo (Kodiac)

Rossa Ryan80%1/3Zoe Hawkins
685252
6.0

Course winner. Back on track with second of 8 in handicap at Bath 20 days ago. Not discounted nudged up 1 lb.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/0930/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/09 · mark par20/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/10 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par15/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 17%20/09Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%20/10Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%15/07
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
3
OR 5714/1
Ada Rose silks

AMO Racing Limited

Ada Rose

3yo Filly · 9-1

Showcasing - Messalina (Iffraaj)

D Egan0/1K P De Foy
067391
5.0

Gained a first win in 10-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (1½m) in June. Up 6 lb and needs to show she's as effective on turf (well held only run on it previously) now.

Class Advantage

19/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/1214/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 8%19/12Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 14%26/01Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%30/05Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%16/06
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
2
OR 574/1
Beaune silks

Mr Simon James & Partner

Beaune

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Blue Point - Chateau La Fleur (Frankel)

Harry Vigors60%−5lbB J Llewellyn60%
118743
5.0
Cheek pieces

Gained a third win this year at Wolverhampton in April. Respectable third of 11 in handicap at Wolverhampton (1¾m) 14 days ago. Considered.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par10/0421/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par4/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%10/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 13%4/05Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%29/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%21/07
Projected finish3rd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
4
OR 605/1
Condotti silks

Mrs P Good

Condotti

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Soldier's Call - Fast Pick (Fastnet Rock)

Oisin Murphy70%H Palmer70%
604932
6.0
Visor

Remains winless but he comes here in very good form, second of 12 in handicap at Ayr (1¼m, good to firm) 29 days ago. Not out of things in a change of headgear if his stamina holds out.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/094/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par18/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%20/09Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%18/10Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%10/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 91%6/07
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 5310/1
Praise Indeed silks

Mrs R F Greener And North Farm Stud

Praise Indeed

4yo Filly · 9-7

Aclaim - Specific Dream (Danehill Dancer)

Lewis Edmunds60%W Muir & C Grassick
06872
4.0

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Advanced her form for new yard with second of 9 in handicap here (1¼m, good to firm) 21 days ago, not clear run over 1f out. A likely player off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0511/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/05Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 44%11/06Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%17/07Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%15/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%14/07
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
5
OR 5433/1
A Daughters Love silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

A Daughters Love

3yo Filly · 8-12

Mohaather - Loving Touch (Nathaniel)

Jack Doughty60%2/5D Flood
331150
5.0Going 8.0

Improved for current yard with 1¼m wins at Chepstow and Leicester this summer. Stiff task when fourteenth of 15 in handicap at Ascot (1½m, good to firm) 10 days ago. Can bounce back here.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0623/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 83%5/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 56%14/07Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 7%25/07
Projected finish6th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav6
OR 5911/8
Grindleton silks

Mr & Mrs G Middlebrook

Grindleton

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Ribchester - Chamomile (Teofilo)

Tom Marquand70%0/2D & C Kubler
643428
5.0Going 7.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Very good second in handicap at Nottingham (1¼m) in May but came in last of 8 on tapeta debut at Wolverhampton (1½m) since. Remains one to be interested in back on turf for in-form yard.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0925/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par2/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 58%5/09Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%9/10Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%19/05Pos 8 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 8 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%2/06
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
8
OR 4566/1
Pomeriggio silks

Nikki Evans Racing

Pomeriggio

5yo Mare · 9-0

Caravaggio - Vivere (Montjeu)

Ryan Kavanagh80%Mrs N S Evans60%
083097
2.0

It's now sixteen runs since her last win in 2023 and only seventh of 9 in handicap at Chepstow (1¼m, good) 50 days ago. Not easy to make a case for.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/059/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par23/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par15/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/12 · mark par19/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/01 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par15/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%11/05Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%23/09Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%19/01Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%15/06
Projected finish8th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
9
OR 5533/1
Houndswood Willow silks

Mr G Shaughnessy

Houndswood Willow

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Starspangledbanner - Coral Shell (High Chaparral)

William Cox0/4Tom Dascombe60%
740075
3.0
Cheek pieces

Modest maiden. Only fifth of 7 in handicap at Chepstow (1½m, good to firm) 27 days ago. Needs to take a step forward if he's to get off the mark at the seventh attempt.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0917/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%27/09Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 16 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 38%18/04Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 11 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%8/07
Projected finish9th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
10
OR 45250/1
Cartrefle silks

The Lam Partnership

Cartrefle

3yo Gelding · 8-4

Lope Y Fernandez - Matron Of Honour (Teofilo)

Molly Gunn−5lbE De Giles70%
700
2.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2

Well held all 3 runs. Last of 10 in maiden at Salisbury (1¼m, heavy) on return in June. Cheekpieces on for 1st time. Handicap debutant.

Class Advantage

27/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/1020/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/119/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 3f 209y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%27/10Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%20/11Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%9/06
Projected finish10th of 10
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend