17:41 · Southwell

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m 14yGoing TBCClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 763/1
Bullrider silks

Ed Babington & George Boughey

2yo Colt · 9-4

Blackbeard - We Reach The Shore (Galileo)

Jack Callan60%G Boughey
23
7.0Class ↓2

€30,000 2-y-o, Blackbeard colt. Dam unraced half-sister to very smart winner up to 6f Art Connoisseur. Stepped up on his debut second when third in 12-runner novice at this course (7f) 10 days ago. Big chance with the extra 1f likely to suit.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0727/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength41%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%1/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%27/07
Projected finish1st of 8
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 7340/1
Quest For Glory silks

Ms Georgina Nicholls

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Sea The Moon - Kwanza (Exchange Rate)

Harry Vigors60%0/2−5lbG Nicholls
43
5.0

Much improved from debut when third of 9 in all-weather maiden at Lingfield (7f) 24 days ago, running on. Must enter the reckoning.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0613/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%29/06Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%13/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
5
28/1
Vinery silks

Mrs Sarah Bryan

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Massaat - Broughtons Mystery (Sakhee's Secret)

D NolanO Greenall & J Guerriero
62
6.0Going 8.0

Massaat gelding who left debut form behind when second of 9 in 6f seller at Leicester (good to firm) 33 days ago, running on. Significantly up in trip and more required on first run for yard after leaving David Evans.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/064/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%13/06Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 88%4/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
3
16/1
Baarberini silks

Green Team Racing

2yo Colt · 9-4

St Mark's Basilica - Galibawa (Dubawi)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/1James Horton
3
5.0

20,000 gns yearling, St Mark's Basilica colt. Half-brother to French 10.4f winner Galimatia. Showed plenty amidst inexperience when third of 11 in 7f novice at Kempton on debut 38 days ago. That form is working out quite well and he seems sure to improve over this extra 1f.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%29/06
Projected finish4th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
2
Kodiac City silks

Mr A Smith & Mr D Thorpe

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Kodiac - Bint Iffraaj (Iffraaj)

K Stott70%R Hughes80%
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled April 15. £50,000 2-y-o, Kodiac gelding. Dam unraced out of useful German 9f winner Shy Angel. Yard's 2-y-os tend to improve for a run but would enter the reckoning if the market speaks in his favour.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 8
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
1
7
11/2
Astral Crown silks

Barbara & Alick Richmond

2yo Colt · 9-7

Naval Crown - Freedom's Light (Galileo)

D Tudhope60%0/1D O'Meara80%
5
2.0

Looks one for the longer term judged on his initial effort at Ayr last month.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%13/07
Projected finish6th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
Phantom Knight silks

Green Team Racing

2yo Colt · 9-4

Japan - Pray (Maxios)

Callum Hutchinson60%A M Balding80%
No form3.0

Foaled February 24. €43,000 yearling, Japan colt. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6.5f winner Princess and 9f winner Prolet. Dam, German 2-y-o 7.5f winner, half-sister to smart 9f-1½m winner Paradias out of useful 2-y-o 1m winner Paraisa. Newcomer to note in the betting.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish7th of 8
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
8
8
18/1
Hoosthat silks

Mondial Racing

2yo Colt · 9-1

Land Force - Want The Fairytale (Mount Nelson)

Jason Hart60%W Muir & C Grassick
8
2.0

Land Force colt who showed only inexperience when down the field in 7f maiden at Leicester on debut in June.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%8/06
Projected finish8th of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend