16:35 · Gowran Park

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

7fGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 889/1
Rion Rubette silks

Bredwinner Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-12

New Bay - Citronella (New Approach)

Paddy Harnett60%2/4−5lbM Butler60%
478110
7.0

Proved better than ever when scoring over this C&D in April and followed up here 7 weeks later, getting the better of Greydreambeliever on both occasions. Lesser effort at the Curragh last time, but no surprise to see her bounce back at this venue.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/0914/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par22/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%27/09Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 53%3/04Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%12/06Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%27/06
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
5
OR 794/1
Rebel Wave silks

Valmont & Ballylinch Stud

3yo Filly · 8-11

New Bay - Freedom March (Oasis Dream)

Billy Lee60%1/3W McCreery
5621
7.0

Took a step forward on third start when going close at Limerick in June, before showing a good attitude to win 11-runner maiden at the Curragh 20 days ago. Enters calculations with more still to offer on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/0529/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0519/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0618/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%17/05Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 62%29/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%19/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
Value2
OR 8116/1
Thrifty Of Digby silks

P Harty

5yo Mare · 9-5

Profitable - Abstain (Araafa)

Shane Foley60%5/16Mrs J Harrington70%
30811P
9.0
Cheek pieces

With cheekpieces back on, took advantage of a falling mark when scoring at Roscommon (7.4f) in May. Proved game when following up at this course (9.5f), but was amiss when pulled up at Down Royal on latest outing.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/098/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/10 · mark par8/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par3/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/05 · mark par18/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 54%16/09Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%8/04Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%1/06
Projected finish3rd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
Market Fav6
OR 862/1
Mallavelly silks

David Spratt

5yo Mare · 9-10

Siyouni - Villa D'amore (Mastercraftsman)

Colin Keane60%1/3G M Lyons
630723
5.0
Tongue strap

Won 3 times last season after joining this yard and bounced back to form when runner-up in premier handicap at the Curragh (7f) in June. Travelled best when third of 6 at the same course (1m) 19 days ago, so she's a major player back down in trip.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/0813/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par10/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par4/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par19/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%31/08Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%10/05Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 90%27/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%19/07
Projected finish4th of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
3
OR 8310/3
Akecheta silks

L I Walshe

6yo Mare · 9-7

Sioux Nation - Veneration (Dalakhani)

Chris HayesKevin Coleman60%
800657
4.0
Tongue strap

Doubled her tally with success in minor event over this C&D in September. However, she hasn't been able to match that level so far this season, running poorly with cheekpieces added (now left off) when well held at this course (9.5f) in June.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/1115/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par3/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par10/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 59%8/11Pos 17 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 17 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 12 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 35%3/04Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%10/05Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 14%1/06
Projected finish5th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 8920/1
Greydreambeliever silks

Kevin Blake & Emma Palmer & Michael Wilson & N E F Luck

4yo Filly · 9-13

Dark Angel - Dione (Authorized)

Dylan Browne McMonagle60%0/2J P O'Brien
226294
5.0

Without a win since debut but runner-up 3 times in handicaps this season, beaten twice by Rion Rubette over this C&D. Couldn't get especially competitive when fourth of 9 in listed race at Galway 8 days ago, though this should be more suitable.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par8/0422/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par27/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par30/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 93%8/04Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%17/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%27/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 63%30/07
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
8
OR 735/2
Hasita silks

Exors of the Late H H Aga Khan

3yo Filly · 8-7

Starspangledbanner - Hasimiyya (Shamardal)

Rory Mulligan60%−5lbJ P Murtagh
083345
4.0

Showed improved form on handicap debut when making the frame at Fairyhouse (7f) in July. Fitted with cheekpieces (now discarded), seemed unsuited by drop back to 6f when fifth of 13 in maiden at Navan last time, so she's worth another chance returned to further.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0527/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%25/05Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%3/05Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%1/07Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%11/07
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
7
OR 839/2
Pretty Omagh Girl silks

Brian Mellon & P McBride

4yo Filly · 9-7

Shaman - Streetlady (Street Boss)

Ben Coen70%1/4A Oliver
42410
5.0

Made the frame all 3 starts in maidens last year, before proving a different proposition on handicap/seasonal debut when making all in 19-runner contest at the Curragh (1m) in May. Well held at the same course next time, though (reported to be coughing).

Class Advantage

27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0628/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%27/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%28/11Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 75%19/12Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%24/05Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 12 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 8%28/06
Projected finish8th of 9
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
9
OR 91
Stugardia silks

Sights On Gold Five Partnership

4yo Filly · 10-1

Tai Chi - Scouting (New Approach)

Julian Pietropaolo−7lbJ P O'Brien
273036
3.0

Fairly useful form in Germany for Henk Grewe, winning on her second start and going on to place twice at listed level. Down the field in Group 3 at Dusseldorf (8.4f) when last seen in October, but she's one to note as she makes handicap/stable debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 9
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%