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15:24 · Musselburgh

Brodie Handicap

1m 5fGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 681/4
Roc De Fer silks

Mr N Boyden And Mr C Harrold

Roc De Fer

3yo Gelding · 10-1

Sea The Moon - Island Remede (Medicean)

L Morris70%2/6Sir Mark Prescott
044311
7.0

Much improved stepped up to 11f when opening account at Southwell last month. Always doing enough from the front when following up at Wolverhampton (1½m) 7 days ago, scoring by 1½ lengths from Much, and there promises to be better still to come.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/1111/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 15%26/11Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%18/12Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%27/07Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%31/07
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 699/2
Much silks

Mr T R G Vestey

Much

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Frankel - Seal Of Approval (Authorized)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/4J R Fanshawe70%
8742
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Never landed a blow in his qualifying runs, but having been gelded he took a step forward sent handicapping when 1½ lengths second of 7 to Roc de Fer at Wolverhampton (1½m) 7 days ago. Clear of the rest last time and he's open to further progress.

Class Advantage

17/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0415/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0631/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%17/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%15/05Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%9/06Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%31/07
Projected finish2nd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
4
OR 683/1
Sure And Stedfast silks

Mrs Karen Spark

Sure And Stedfast

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Calyx - Norway (Nathaniel)

Greg Fairley70%Ewan Whillans
203253
6.0Class ↓3

Successful twice last season and has been shaping up well during the current campaign, finishing a close third of 5 at Hamilton last month. Enters calculations back down in grade.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par5/111/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par17/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%5/11Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%17/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%27/06Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%11/07
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
3
OR 688/1
Simple Star silks

Mrs D Monteith

Simple Star

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Sea The Stars - Simple Elegance (Street Cry)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbGary Rutherford60%
896254
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Winner of this race last year for Dianne Sayer but his starts are becoming an increasing concern, again losing plenty of ground when fourth of 6 here (2m) on stable debut 7 days ago. Tongue strap back on.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0426/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par24/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%12/04Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%24/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%13/07Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%31/07
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
5
OR 712/1
Willow Wood silks

Cayton Park Stud Limited

Willow Wood

3yo Filly · 9-6

Wootton Bassett - Willoughby (Oasis Dream)

K Shoemark60%1/3E Walker
645415
5.0

With handicap/seasonal debut behind her, proved a different proposition upped further in trip when scoring comfortably at Ffos Las (1½m) in June. Raced too keenly when last of 5 at Doncaster 20 days ago, though it remains early days for her.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/092/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%5/09Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 69%26/11Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 1 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%18/07
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
6
OR 655/6
Alnayef silks

Belgate Racing Limited

Alnayef

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Sea The Stars - Emotion (Exceed And Excel)

P Mulrennan60%0/6J S Goldie
448713
5.0Class ↓3

Hasn't looked the most enthusiastic and benefited from an uncontested lead when getting off the mark at Hamilton in June. Unable to dominate over the same C&D next time and couldn't repeat that effort when third of 5 on latest outing.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/10 · mark par31/105/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par27/12 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par17/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%31/10Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 30%27/12Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 50%16/07
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
7
OR 6612/1
Tommy's Promise silks

Mr Gerry McGladery

Tommy's Promise

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Saxon Warrior - Sister Red (Diamond Green)

T Eaves60%J Ryan
111259
4.0

Completed a 4-timer with success over 1¼m in January. Shaped as if still in good form next 2 outings, before not convincing on his first try over 1½m when ninth of 15 at the same course in April. Off since ahead of return to turf.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/12 · mark par15/1222/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par17/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par29/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/01 · mark par28/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par3/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 5f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%15/12Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%17/01Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%28/02Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%3/04
Projected finish7th of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend