Golden Beach
7yo Gelding · 9-6
Amiens · Prix Dominique Geroux Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 55% | -0.09 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 14/05/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 9% | -0.70 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/08/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |