IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. epsom-downs
  3. race-3

13:47 · Epsom Downs

Hunt Family Fund Novice Stakes (Sponsored By Betfred) (GBB Race)

1m 2f 17yGoing TBCClass 33YO to 4YOTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 73
5/2
Seacole silks

Marcstown Ltd

Seacole

3yo Filly · 8-13

Sea The Stars - Crimean Queen (Iffraaj)

Rossa Ryan70%0/2R M Beckett70%
24273
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Fair filly who ran up to her previous best with first-time cheekpieces enlisted (retained) when third of 7 in maiden at Windsor (11.5f) 13 days ago. Not progressing at present but a repeat gives her claims nevertheless.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a20/068/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par14/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%8/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%28/07Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%26/08Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 67%14/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.4%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 74
5/4
Blue Noon silks

Stall Perlen Ab

Blue Noon

3yo Filly · 8-13

Blue Point - Moon Shaddow (Galileo)

S M Levey70%0/1R Hannon80%
363225
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
1st Tongue Strap +2

Still looking for a breakthrough success but has been running well in handicaps, matching her previous best when finishing close-up fifth at Goodwood (1¼m, good) 30 days ago. Rates a likely player back in novice company. Tongue strap on 1st time.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/0530/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par18/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%14/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%18/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%7/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 64%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.1%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 75
8/1
Maestro Del Mar silks

Mr Sultan Saeed Harib

Maestro Del Mar

4yo Colt · 9-9

Grendisar - Aldara (Street Cry)

Billy Loughnane80%I Mohammed & J Santos
040324
5.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful colt who cemented his promising start for new yard when finishing a good second on handicap debut at Kempton (1½m) in August. Found life tougher back in novice grade against 3-y-os when fourth at Southwell since but this does look less demanding and booking of Billy Loughnane a plus

Class Advantage

31/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/0114/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par3/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 17y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%31/01Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 78%19/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%12/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.2%Ahead 3/4
3
4
10/3
Rowlf silks

Dash Grange Stud

Rowlf

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Golden Horn - Buildmeupbuttercup (Sixties Icon)

Cieren Fallon70%W J Haggas60%
No form3.0

Golden Horn gelding. Half-brother to 1¼m winner Kissmehoneyhoney. Dam, 1½m winner who stayed 2½m, also won in bumpers/over hurdles. Certainly not lacking for stamina judged on pedigree and he's one to note in the betting on debut for leading stable.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 640% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength82%
5
5
100/1
Paraone silks

Mr A Davitt

Paraone

3yo Filly · 8-13

Raven's Pass - Pom Pom Pom (Big Shuffle)

George Wood60%0/1H Main
97
2.0

Raven's Pass filly who has offered little in pair of novice/maiden events in recent weeks.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a13/0814/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a14/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 17y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%13/08Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%14/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2
2
6
25/1
Red Red silks

Ms K Jones

Red Red

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Rerouted - Miss Wedge (Fraam)

H Crouch60%G & J Moore
No form3.0

Rerouted gelding. Dam maiden (stayed 8.5f). Yard wouldn't be a known source of winning newcomers in this sphere.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 60% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%