16:19 · Ffos Las

Bridge Llangennech Open Daily Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 51
11/8
Wellwhatshappenin silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

4yo Gelding · 11-5

Smooth Daddy - Bird Of Light (Elnadim)

Miss Louise Chance60%D Flood
300842
5.0
Tongue strap

Signed off 2025 in good form but ended time for Eddie & Patrick Harty on a low-key note. Tongue tied on second start for this yard and right back on his game when runner-up in a 1m course handicap last week. Back up in trip and he should be a very big factor again.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par5/1220/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/03 · mark par6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 85%5/12Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 8%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 31%6/08Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%14/09Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%21/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 49
11/4
Georg Zhukov silks

Marc Williams & Partner

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Smooth Daddy - Moulane Lady (Lilbourne Lad)

Miss Amy Milburn60%B J Llewellyn60%
100594
3.0
Tongue strap

Off the mark over 1m at Dundalk in January. Went into his shell after for Eamonn O'Connell and having been well backed, he didn't revive on stable debut when fourth over 1m here last week (behind Wellwhatshappenin). Back up in distance.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/0220/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par5/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 15%6/02Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 71%5/04Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 47%12/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 57%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.1%Ahead 3/4
4
Value2
OR 47
5/1
Pride Eye silks

Mr Mark Rimell

4yo Filly · 11-1

Expert Eye - Marsh Pride (Stimulation)

Mr Harry Rimell−3lbM G Rimell
445245
4.0

Caused 66/1 shock over 1m at Southwell in January. Went as close as she has since in classified event at Lingfield last month and still in form when 1½-length fourth over longer trip there (1½m) next time. Never able to land a blow back over 1¼m last week and now switches to turf.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0728/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par19/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%4/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%18/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 63%10/09Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 47
10/1
The Ormer Gatherer silks

Mrs V Perchard

7yo Gelding · 11-1

Outstrip - Camp Fire (Lahib)

Mr James HillsFaye Bramley
017717
3.0Class ↓2

Rejoined Mrs A. Malzard when landing handicap at Les Landes (1¼m, good to firm) in June 2025. Big price and almost certainly needed the run for another new yard after 15 months off 2 weeks ago. This will reveal more.

Class Advantage

31/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/03 · mark par31/0325/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par24/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/03 · mark par20/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par10/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%31/03Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 100%24/03Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 25%10/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%12/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.1%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 49
8/1
Someone's Wish silks

Mr Conor Morris

6yo Gelding · 11-3

Buratino - Crystal Mountain (Monashee Mountain)

Mr Jack Loughnane−3lbP Morris60%
369029
3.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

First form for current yard when second of 10 in all-weather classified event at Lingfield (1½m) last month. Wasn't in same form under a more forceful ride at Wolverhampton since and now back in handicap company dropped in distance.

Class Advantage

18/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below18/01 · mark par18/0121/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%18/01Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%29/05Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%18/08Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%26/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 3/4
6
6
OR 50
14/1
Dash Of Class silks

Urloxhey Racing

3yo Filly · 10-13

Earthlight - Very Dashing (Dansili)

Mr James Murray60%Dr R Newland
532679
3.0Class ↓2

Placed twice in handicaps over this trip at the start of the summer. A trio of lesser efforts have followed, though and a hood is now left off.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par29/0429/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par22/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%29/04Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%22/06Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%29/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%22/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -35.2%Ahead 0/4