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18:18 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Allowance

5f 110yFirm3YO plusTURF7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav3
OR 91
7/5
Eva Ready silks

Calumet Farm

Eva Ready

3yo Colt · 8-6

More Than Ready - Toscana (Speightstown)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/1Chad Brown60%
831
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a31/085/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/10 · mark par5/1014/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par14/11projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 67%Dist: 5f 110y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 36%31/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 82%5/10Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%14/11
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 2/3
3
2
OR 100
5/2
On Par silks

Klein Racing

On Par

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Hard Spun - Break Even (Country Day)

Brian Jr Hernandez1/1David Fawkes60%
1
10.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a7/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 100%Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%7/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 1/1
1
Top Pick1
OR 96
20/1
Brilliant Bomb silks

Ida Spagnola

Brilliant Bomb

3yo Colt · 8-6

Hit It A Bomb - Love To Reminisce (Super Saver)

Summer PaulyIda Spagnola60%
14
10.0

Class Advantage

19/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a19/11
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: FirmDist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 100%19/11
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +100.0%Ahead 1/1
2
4
OR 102
4/1
Cinister Cix silks

Bartolome Herrera

Cinister Cix

4yo Colt · 8-9

Curlin - Auntjenn (Uncle Mo)

Luis Saez60%0/1Shane Sands
213247
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

17/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/0114/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par8/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par2/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%17/01Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%8/03Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 70%9/05Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%2/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +52.6%Ahead 4/4
7
5
OR 92
6/1
Zap D'etat silks

Ned Morris

Zap D'etat

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Tom's D'etat - Shovalla (Ghostzapper)

Fernando Cruz La De60%1/5Gary House
398130
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

15/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/047/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 67%Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%15/04Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%7/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%23/08Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%7/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.3%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 94
8/1
Utopian silks

Kevin Stedman

Utopian

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Curlin - Magical Ride (Storm Cat)

Adam BeschizzaJose Camejo
126643
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/0221/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par22/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%17/04Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 50%29/06Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%30/07
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.2%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 86
30/1
Stashu silks

Warchol Thoroughbreds Llc

Stashu

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Mo Town - Macbu (Maclean's Music)

Francisco Arrieta1/4John Wainwright
870848
3.0

Class Advantage

8/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par8/1127/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par16/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Firm · 33%Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%8/11Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 9%16/05Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 70%31/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 36%7/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 3/4