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21:29 · Churchill Downs

Race 10 - Lukas Classic Stakes - Grade 2

1m 1f3YO plusDIRT5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
3
OR 113
4/1
Tiztastic silks

Winchell Thoroughbreds Llc, Magnier, Mrs John, Tabor, Michael B And Smith, Derrick

Tiztastic

4yo Colt · 8-9

Tiz The Law - Keesha (Tapit)

Brian Jr HernandezSteven Asmussen
908135
5.0

Class Advantage

2/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0830/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par16/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par9/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par4/07 · C0 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par8/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%2/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%16/04Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%4/07Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%8/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.1%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 111
9/2
Dragoon Guard silks

Juddmonte

Dragoon Guard

5yo Horse · 8-9

Arrogate - Filimbi (Mizzen Mast)

Tyler GaffalioneB Cox60%
223817
4.0

Class Advantage

30/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/1114/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par29/08 · C0 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 90%30/11Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%2/05Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%14/07Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.3%Ahead 0/4
1
Value2
OR 113
8/1
This Is Uscar silks

Table 38 Racing Llc And Katierich Stables Llc

This Is Uscar

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Oscar Performance - Journey On (Good Journey)

Edgar Morales2/9Jordan Blair
53D612
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par28/0918/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par30/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲5
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%28/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%30/11Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%9/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.4%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 113
6/1
Banishing silks

Jacobson, David, Al Hariri, Sharaf Mohammed And Roman, Lawrence P

Banishing

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Ghostzapper - Dowager (A.p. Indy)

Francisco Arrieta1/2David Jacobson
681012
7.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

13/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par13/1224/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par28/03 · C0 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par29/08 · C0 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%13/12Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%29/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.7%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav5
OR 111
2/1
Chunk Of Gold silks

Terry Stephens

Chunk Of Gold

4yo Colt · 8-9

Preservationist - Play For Gold (Cairo Prince)

Jaime Torres0/1Ethan West
121322
6.0

Class Advantage

4/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/0820/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par24/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/10 · mark par28/11 · C0 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par28/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par15/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%4/08Pos 2 · SP 1/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 2 · SP 1/7 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%24/10Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%28/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%15/08
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 2/4