16:07 · Epsom Downs

Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap

7f 3yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 79
9/4
Musical Angel silks

Derek Stubbs And Leighton Walsh

4yo Filly · 10-0

Dark Angel - Gift Of Music (Cadeaux Genereux)

Harry Davies60%0/1S Dow
158632
6.0Going 10.0

Won this race from 1 lb higher mark last year when with Andrew Balding and ran her best race since when second of 9 over C&D 17 days ago. Looks sure to go well.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/096/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par5/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par16/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%28/09Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 53%5/06Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%10/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 78
13/2
Bridget's View silks

TJE Racing

4yo Filly · 9-13

Sergei Prokofiev - Samasana (Redback)

Rossa Ryan70%0/1S C Williams100%
877655
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Hood +1Tongue strap

Creditable efforts back to back at Kempton on all-weather with hood and cheekpieces, finishing fifth of 9 32 days ago. Down slightly in grade here but not so consistent on turf.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0428/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%3/04Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%31/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 60%12/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%26/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.4%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 75
7/2
Velvet Rhythm silks

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

3yo Filly · 9-7

Awtaad - Tea Dancing (Dubawi)

Rowan Scott60%2/4C Johnston
130373
5.0Going 8.0

Won 4 times on turf earlier in the year and shaped very well when third of 12 at Wolverhampton on all-weather 9 days ago, keeping on well having started awkwardly. Ran poorly on sole start at this track in August but holds interesting claims if that was just a blip.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/0718/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par24/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par31/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%8/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 24 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 24 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 8%29/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 14%31/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 82%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 3/4
4
Value2
OR 75
11/2
Silver Trumpet silks

Austin, June & Jonny Allison

5yo Gelding · 9-10

Advertise - Cherubic (Dark Angel)

Charles Bishop2/20Eve Johnson Houghton80%
761525
6.0
1st Blinkers +3

Twice a C&D winner, including in July, but not good at the start when fifth of 9 over C&D 17 days ago. Capable of making a big impact if breaking on terms in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 71%23/05Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%31/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%10/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.3%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 74
15/2
Havana Smile silks

Gill East

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Havana Grey - Abundant Moon (Galileo)

Toby Moore60%0/2−7lbG & J Moore
71653U
5.0

Better effort when third of 8 in a 5f handicap at Sandown in August but unseated when jinking in first-time cheekpieces 16 days ago. Cheekpieces removed and he needs to prove himself as well suited by this step back up to 7f.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/0927/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%28/09Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%28/05Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%23/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%29/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 2/4
9
8
OR 67
25/1
Our Guy silks

Chris van Hoorn Racing

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Zoustar - Felissa (Soldier Hollow)

George Bass60%D J Coakley70%
5651P9
4.0
1st Visor +2

Scored at 33/1 when off the mark at Windsor over 6f in May on handicap debut but has since pulled up there and finished ninth of 11 at Kempton in July. Now tries first-time visor and steps back up to 7f after 87 days off so he looks best watched.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/127/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/02 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%10/12Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%7/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%7/02Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%4/05Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%2/07
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.1%Ahead 4/4
7
6
OR 70
10/1
Eazy On The Eye silks

Mr Frederick Ellis

4yo Filly · 9-5

Expert Eye - Yaa Mous (Farhh)

George Wood60%0/1H Main
702227
5.0

Yet to win on turf but finished runner-up 3 times in a row in handicaps before seventh of 11 over 1m at Ascot 23 days ago, turned out quickly and doing too much too soon. Back down in trip here but not sure to get her way out in front.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/0419/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%26/04Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 10 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 90%17/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%29/08Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%4/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 75
25/1
Wreck It Ryley silks

Mr A J Smith

6yo Gelding · 9-10

Gutaifan - Bucks Frizz (Havana Gold)

H Crouch60%A D Brown60%
896370
3.0
Visor

Better known for 6f exploits, finishing a good third of 26 at Goodwood in July, but he's not proving so good at this trip and was last on soft going earlier this month. Visor replaces blinkers but looks best opposed.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/0627/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%6/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 72%11/07Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%21/08Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.3%Ahead 2/4
8
9
OR 70
12/1
Fresh Fade silks

Dare To Dream Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Cotai Glory - Julienne (Galileo)

Kieren Fox70%0/4M J Attwater60%
560605
2.0Class ↓3

Yet to fire since joining current connections, including when fifth of 6 over C&D in a handicap 27 days ago when took strong hold and weakened. Hard to fancy in current form.

Class Advantage

12/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par12/129/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par30/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%12/12Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%23/05Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 18 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 32%29/07Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%31/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.5%Ahead 3/4
10
10
OR 62
25/1
Middleton View silks

Mr Glenn Thompson And Partner

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Bated Breath - Tested (Selkirk)

S M Levey70%0/3S C Williams90%
579458
2.0
1st Hood +1Tongue strap

5f winner on all-weather in December but no progress this year. Possibly needed run when eighth of 13 in a handicap at Yarmouth 10 days ago on return from a 3-month break.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/029/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 3y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%26/02Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%1/04Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%22/06Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 42%17/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 2/4