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17:16 · Churchill Downs

Race 2 - Starter Allowance

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 106
2/1
Show Time silks

David Jacobson

Show Time

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Into Mischief - Flautist (First Defence)

Rafael Bejarano60%1/2David Jacobson60%
121121
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

1/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par1/0324/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%1/03Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%23/05Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%25/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/4
6
3
OR 101
9/2
Margin Of Air silks

Lawrence Roman

Margin Of Air

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Mineshaft - Chase Me Now (Tiznow)

Jose Ortiz60%David Jacobson60%
133114
5.0

Class Advantage

18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par18/0515/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/06 · mark par3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par21/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par22/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 57%18/05Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%21/12Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 94
4/1
Gardiner silks

Stable 323

Gardiner

4yo Colt · 8-9

Audible - Ramdhaa (More Than Ready)

Tyler Gaffalione1/1Joe Sharp60%
317317
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par24/0821/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par8/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par19/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%24/08Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%8/11Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%21/06Pos 7 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 7 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 14%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -38.2%Ahead 0/4
4
5
OR 94
10/1
Cool Cowboy silks

Dark Knight Racing

Cool Cowboy

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Thousand Words - Summer Of Joy (Sky Mesa)

Luis Saez60%Mark Simms60%
332314
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

14/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/0324/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par10/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par13/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%14/03Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%16/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 50%22/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 110
3/1
Coach Cronin silks

Paradise Farms Corp

Coach Cronin

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Point Piper - Angel Of Battle (Dunkirk)

Jaime TorresRobert Hess60%
411137
5.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

17/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/0121/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par21/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par9/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par31/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 67%17/01Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%21/06Pos 7 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 7 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%31/07
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.7%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 101
8/1
Defending Albert silks

Schroer, Cathy And Schroer, Paul

Defending Albert

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Practical Joke - Jetbird (Wildcat Heir)

Francisco Arrieta0/1James Watkins60%
913132
6.0

Class Advantage

2/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/10 · mark par2/102/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par23/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/01 · mark par26/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%2/10Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%23/01Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%26/03Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%12/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.3%Ahead 2/4