15:32 · Epsom Downs

Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap

1m 113yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
2
OR 75
9/2
Likeness silks

Highclere Thoroughbred - Sycamore

3yo Filly · 9-1

Blue Point - Tayybah (Kingman)

George Bass60%1/2J Channon
224521
8.0Going 9.0

Fair maiden for George Boughey. Built on first run for current connections when fairly useful winner over C&D handicap latest. She did have a good pitch in a messy race on that occasion, though, and needs more again up in class/back against her elders.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/106/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par12/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par5/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par21/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%4/10Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%12/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%21/08Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 1/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 84
10/1
Swiped silks

Marcstown Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Too Darn Hot - Give And Take (Cityscape)

Rossa Ryan70%0/2R M Beckett70%
212118
7.0Going 8.0
Visor

Successful in change of headgear over C&D prior to improving/following up in more fluent fashion at Sandown later in July. Clearly didn't give his running when bidding for a hat-trick at Ripon (possibly amiss) since. Leading claims if back on song.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0513/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 92%23/05Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 83%1/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 22%15/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 2/4
9
3
OR 65
15/2
Play Me silks

Mr P And Mrs L Rowe And Mr John Turner

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Too Darn Hot - Initially (Dansili)

Donagh Murphy60%3/18−5lbJ R Boyle
159143
6.0

Typically ridden patiently when doubling his tally for the year at this course (7f) last month. Still in good heart when 5½ lengths third over C&D last time. Probably needs a strong pace to hold his own back up in grade (races from 1 lb out of the handicap).

Class Advantage

9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par9/069/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%5/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%31/08Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.4%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav4
OR 82
5/2
Thanos silks

Paul Inglett And Paul Dean

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Lope Y Fernandez - Reedanjas (Sir Prancealot)

Lewis Edmunds60%2/3Harry Charlton60%
221131
7.0Going 10.0Class ↓2
Cheek pieces

Strong-travelling/ground-versatile 3-y-o. Successful on 3 of his last 4 starts, forging clear to win on first start in open company at Chepstow (1m, soft) last time. Faces better opposition here, however, a 7-lb rise may not prove beyond him given his upwardly mobile profile.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par3/1125/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par19/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 83%3/11Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%19/05Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 33%2/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 77
6/1
Bubbles Wonky silks

Only One Bid Partnership

5yo Gelding · 9-8

Lope De Vega - Belle Josephine (Dubawi)

Kieren Fox70%0/1M Pattinson
433313
7.0Class ↓2

Consistent sort who gained a deserved first win for his current yard in a Class 5 handicap at Sandown (1m). Form of his subsequent 3½-length third at Windsor has taken a few knocks. May fall short in a better race here, even if allowed the run of the race.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/03 · mark par12/034/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%12/03Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%20/05Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%29/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +40.2%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 84
10/1
Jungle Ruler silks

The Horse Watchers 4

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Lucky Vega - Lilli Milena (Dansili)

Jason Watson70%1/4M Appleby60%
454327
5.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2

Dual all-weather winner who ran up to his best well-backed second at Sandown on penultimate start. Testing conditions possibly a factor in his subsequent below-par effort at Haydock. No excuses on that front here and cheekpieces will need to spark improvement if he's to open his turf account.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/044/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par13/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par4/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 77%3/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%13/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%29/07Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 45%5/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 82
11/2
Crown Office silks

Mr Saeed Suhail

3yo Gelding · 9-8

No Nay Never - Antonia De Vega (Lope De Vega)

Cieren Fallon70%1/3W J Haggas
104625
4.0Class ↓2

Landed the odds in a solid 6f Leicester maiden (soft) on final juvenile outing. Best effort since when second to an improving filly at Nottingham (1¼m) prior to disappointing back down in trip at Haydock latest. Still well treated and may capitalise if ridden more aggressively from stall 1 here.

Class Advantage

28/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/1017/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par30/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%28/10Pos 13 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 13 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 8%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%13/06Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%30/07Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 64%5/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 1/4
1
8
OR 84
16/1
Dr Strangelove silks

Mr Christopher Wright

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Mohaather - Cheap Thrills (Bertolini)

Oisin Murphy70%Oliver Cole70%
432250
4.0Going 10.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2

Mohaather gelding. Won twice over 6f in useful juvenile season. Hasn't gone on from his near miss in this grade at Goodwood in June. First-time cheekpieces could help remedy recent slow starts. Step up in trip/booking of Oisin Murphy potential catalysts for improvement, too.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par20/041/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par12/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%20/04Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%7/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%12/08Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%4/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.1%Ahead 1/4
8
9
OR 74
16/1
Galileo Island silks

The Island Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Galileo Gold - Puffin Island (Awtaad)

S M Levey70%T Ward60%
324839
3.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Completed a double in a 7f course handicap for Marco Botti last year. Changed hands for 34,000 gns and had been gelded prior to an underwhelming stable debut here earlier this month (hung left). Has a bit to prove back over 1m, having disappointed on his sole previous attempt.

Class Advantage

20/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par20/1110/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par1/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 113y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 33%20/11Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%1/01Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%4/07Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%10/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.3%Ahead 2/4