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20:26 · Churchill Downs

Race 8 - Bourbon Flight Stakes

1m 110y3YO onlyDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
3
OR 109
5/2
Plutarch silks

Magnier, Mrs John, Tabor, Michael B And Smith, Derrick

Plutarch

3yo Colt · 8-6

Into Mischief - Stellar Wind (Curlin)

Francisco ArrietaBob Baffert80%
223311
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a23/088/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par4/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par31/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par1/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par8/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/02 · mark par8/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%23/08Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%4/10Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%1/12Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%8/02
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 2/4
5
Market Fav5
OR 94
9/5
Stimulate silks

Claiborne Farm And Dilschneider, Adele B

Stimulate

3yo Colt · 8-6

Tapit - Elate (Medaglia D'oro)

Luis SaezWilliam Mott60%
511
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a23/0818/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/0722/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%23/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 2/3
2
Top Pick1
OR 99
6/1
Blackout Time silks

Br Thoroughbreds, Inc , Gasaway, Lance And Magdalena Racing

Blackout Time

3yo Colt · 8-6

Not This Time - Beauty Parlor (Elusive Quality)

Brian Jr Hernandez1/4Kenneth McPeek70%
245153
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

4/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/101/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par28/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par2/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par29/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%4/10Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%28/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%2/08Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.0%Ahead 1/4
4
2
OR 100
12/1
Infiltrate silks

Qatar Racing Llc

Infiltrate

3yo Colt · 8-6

Oscar Performance - Proximity Bias (Flatter)

Jose Ortiz70%Brendan Walsh60%
12120
6.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a8/0811/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par21/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par1/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%11/10Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%1/08Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 11 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 23%7/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.5%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 100
8/1
Steel silks

Bernard, L Barrett, And Stephens, Terry L

Steel

3yo Colt · 8-6

Tapit - Snuggs And Kisses (Soto)

Tyler Gaffalione60%0/1William Mott60%
198821
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

28/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a28/024/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par24/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%28/02Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 30%2/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 83%27/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.9%Ahead 4/4
6
6
OR 113
3/1
Local Knowledge silks

Spendthrift Farm LLC

Local Knowledge

3yo Colt · 8-6

Yaupon - Chestnut Street (Scat Daddy)

Jaime TorresTodd Pletcher60%
1313
7.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

4/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a4/106/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/0631/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/0729/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%6/06Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4