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20:58 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Ack Ack Stakes - Grade 3

1m3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav2
OR 118
9/5
Bishops Bay silks

Kas Stables

Bishops Bay

6yo Horse · 8-11

Uncle Mo - Catch My Drift (Pioneerof The Nile)

Tyler Gaffalione60%B Cox60%
114221
8.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

14/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/0623/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par2/11 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par3/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par15/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 100%14/06Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 80%13/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.6%Ahead 2/4
8
3
OR 110
3/1
Nu What's New silks

Doubledown Stables, Inc

Nu What's New

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Munnings - Heavenly Scat (Scat Daddy)

Luis Saez4/5James DiVito
112151
8.0

Class Advantage

26/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par26/125/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par28/02 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par1/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par28/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%26/12Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%28/02Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%1/05Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%28/06
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.8%Ahead 2/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 107
4/1
East Avenue silks

Godolphin, Llc

East Avenue

4yo Colt · 8-11

Medaglia D'oro - Dance Music (Ghostzapper)

Jose Ortiz70%Brendan Walsh
152414
7.0

Class Advantage

8/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/064/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par1/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par13/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par15/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 5 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%28/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 106
30/1
Prince Of Power silks

David Jacobson

Prince Of Power

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Runhappy - Demigoddess (First Dude)

Rafael Bejarano60%David Jacobson
477524
5.0

Class Advantage

12/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par12/032/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par29/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 63%12/03Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%21/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%17/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%29/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.8%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 108
7/2
Owen Almighty silks

Flying Dutchmen Breeding And Racing Llc

Owen Almighty

4yo Colt · 8-11

Speightstown - Tempers Rising (Bayern)

Francisco ArrietaBrian Lynch
837221
7.0

Class Advantage

23/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/0818/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲3
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 0%23/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%28/03Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 89%28/06Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%9/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.3%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 108
20/1
Macho Music silks

Taylor, Mark Fletcher, Crichton, Rohan And Walters, Daniel L

Macho Music

4yo Colt · 8-9

Maclean's Music - Southern Girl (Tapit)

Jareth Loveberry60%0/2Rohan Crichton
698332
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

28/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/032/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲4
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 38%28/03Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%21/05Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%6/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 80%20/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.4%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 113
8/1
Coal Battle silks

Norman Stables Llc

Coal Battle

4yo Colt · 8-9

Coal Front - Wolfblade (Midshipman)

Juan Vargas60%3/6Lonnie Briley
322643
5.0

Class Advantage

8/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/065/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par30/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par9/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%8/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%2/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%28/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%9/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 1/4