Golden Vale
4yo Filly · 9-6
Amiens · Prix Dominique Geroux Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 7.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 12/05/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/05/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 02/07/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 7% | -0.30 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/08/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 17/09/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |