9
Louise De Bade
5yo Filly · 9-1
Amiens · Prix Dominique Geroux Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-11 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength99%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/03/2025 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 24/03/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/05/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 23/07/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |