12
Silver Condor
10yo Gelding · 8-1
Amiens · Prix Dominique Geroux Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/05/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 26/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |