8

Sin City

4yo Filly · 9-2

Amiens · Prix Dominique Geroux Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#11

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 06/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1286/08C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1241/08C5C5 @ Vichy 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12419/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Vichy?8th9th−1
2026-08-01Saint-Malo?6th7th−1
2025-08-06Clairefontaine?10th11th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/081/0819/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -13.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/202510th66/10%40%+0.40
01/08/20266th16/116%62%+0.46
19/08/20268th20/10%13%+0.13