IvyArcIvyArc
5

Citoyen

3yo Colt · 9-2

Amiens · Prix Yves Saint Martin Maiden Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

52%

Place Prob

36%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12320/04C5C5 @ Cholet 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1281/06C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y Ver 12821/08C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1288/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly?3rd3rd0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine?3rd3rd0
2026-06-01Cholet?3rd3rd0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/041/0621/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/20265th9/488%64%-0.25
01/06/20263rd13/891%71%-0.20
21/08/20263rd11/271%80%+0.09
08/09/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13