
Delta Dan
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 33
Amiens · Prix Yves Saint Martin Maiden Stakes · 1m 2f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Chelmsford City | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 28/08/2025 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |