1

Delta Dan

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 33

Amiens · Prix Yves Saint Martin Maiden Stakes · 1m 2f 205y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.9 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 11/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 7f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS11/0844 @ Chelmsford City 28/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/0845 @ Wolverhampton 16/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13116/095C5 @ Deauville 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 33 · 7f100y Std 128 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 33 par26/06C5OR 33C5 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 33 · 1m208y GS 128 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 33 par16/07C5OR 33projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Compiegne?8th8th0
2026-06-26Deauville?6th6th0
2025-09-16Wolverhampton58th9th−1
2025-08-28Chelmsford City49th8th+1
2025-08-11Kempton49th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0828/0816/0926/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +7.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/08/20259th16/116%11%-0.05
28/08/20259th150/10%0%0.00
16/09/20258th200/10%0%0.00
26/06/20266th80/10%17%+0.17
16/07/20268th40/10%22%+0.22