9
Amirlan
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (prix Des Jardins Flottants) Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Saint-Malo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Chateaubriant | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |