11
El Vegas
3yo Colt · 8-11
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (prix Des Jardins Flottants) Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 27/05/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 07/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |