13

Lady Tedsmore

3yo Filly · 8-8

Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (prix Des Jardins Flottants) Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Cloud 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12816/10C5C5 @ Le Mans 17/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 117C1 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS15/03C11 @ ParisLongchamp 23/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Dieppe 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 122 · HIGHER CLASS16/052C5 @ Angers 08/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1222 @ Compiegne 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS10/0724 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 12913/08C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Deauville?12th12th0
2026-08-01Clairefontaine410th9th+1
2026-07-10Compiegne29th6th+3
2026-06-08Angers?5th5th0
2026-05-16Dieppe23rd0th+3
2026-04-23ParisLongchamp116th12th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1023/0410/0713/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20254th66/10%50%+0.50
17/11/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
15/03/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
23/04/202616th50/10%0%0.00
16/05/20263rd11/142%60%+0.18
08/06/20265th18/15%56%+0.50
10/07/20269th11/142%0%-0.42
01/08/202610th33/10%40%+0.40
13/08/202612th22/10%21%+0.21