14
Nughaya Fal
3yo Filly · 8-8
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'union Moreuil (prix Des Jardins Flottants) Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#9
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 10.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 15th | 100/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |