7

Deseo
2yo Filly · 8-12
Amiens · Prix De Longpre Maiden Stakes · 1m 44y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +21.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |