1

Regal Chop

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Amiens · Prix De Longpre Maiden Stakes · 1m 44y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS18/0433 @ Chantilly 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 5f212y Ver 124 · HIGHER CLASS19/0533 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS12/063C5 @ Deauville 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13026/06C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-26Deauville?9th9th0
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud37th5th+2
2026-05-19Chantilly35th3rd+2
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly36th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0419/0512/0626/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20266th22/10%29%+0.29
19/05/20265th20/10%56%+0.56
12/06/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
26/06/20269th28/10%11%+0.11