5
Art Piece
4yo Gelding · 9-1
Amiens · Prix Florent Geroux Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 09/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 30/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 30/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 46% | -0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 63% | +0.10 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 90% | +0.24 |