3

Cosmo Beau
6yo Horse · 9-4
Amiens · Prix Florent Geroux Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 01/09/2025 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 29/09/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.04 |
| 16/10/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 18/11/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 07/06/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 21% | -0.31 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 13/09/2026 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.61 |