1
Itaewon
6yo Horse · 9-8
Amiens · Prix Florent Geroux Claiming Stakes · 1m 44y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
68%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Dieppe | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength97%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 27/05/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 21% | -0.60 |
| 24/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |