Ambra Antica
4yo Filly · 9-6
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.9 /10 (raw 8.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Le Touquet | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | 3 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 16/03/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 30/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 23/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 16/08/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |