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6

Likethewind

4yo Filly · 9-3

Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Deauville 30/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12730/08C?C0 @ Amiens 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m44y GS 125C5 @ Clairefontaine 21/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12021/10C5C0 @ Deauville 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1293 @ Chantilly 05/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS5/023C5 @ Chantilly 23/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Std 1203 @ ParisLongchamp 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS16/0434 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1274 @ Strasbourg 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 7f155y GS 13227/054projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-27Strasbourg45th5th0
2026-05-08Strasbourg414th14th0
2026-04-16ParisLongchamp310th9th+1
2026-03-23Chantilly?8th9th−1
2026-02-05Chantilly311th10th+1
2025-12-13Deauville?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0813/1216/0427/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/202512th11/142%15%-0.27
28/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
21/10/20253rd12/137%80%+0.43
13/12/20255th28/10%67%+0.67
05/02/202611th25/10%29%+0.29
23/03/20268th40/10%30%+0.30
16/04/202610th40/10%25%+0.25
08/05/202614th33/10%13%+0.13
27/05/20265th20/10%69%+0.69