2

Mon Schatzi
4yo Gelding · 9-5
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 3 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 13-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/2026 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/02/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 18/04/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 19/06/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 27/07/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |