12

Niia
4yo Filly · 8-8
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y
#9
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Le Mans | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Le Lion D'angers | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 11/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/05/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |