4
Pinya
4yo Filly · 9-4
Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength46%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 09/05/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.30 |
| 25/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 23/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/09/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |