13

Tigre Dore

4yo Gelding · 8-4

Amiens · Prix Du Pdv Pmu L'ocean Equihen-plage (prix Edouard Acker) Handicap · 1m 44y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 28/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12828/06C5C5 @ Vittel 20/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f101y GS 12320/07C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 18/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12918/08C?3 @ Compiegne 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 121 · HIGHER CLASS5/0633 @ ParisLongchamp 18/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS18/0633 @ Saint-Cloud 05/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS5/073C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 11813/09C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?15th15th0
2026-07-05Saint-Cloud314th13th+1
2026-06-18ParisLongchamp310th9th+1
2026-06-05Compiegne38th7th+1
2025-08-18Clairefontaine?12th12th0
2025-07-20Vittel?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/065/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength7%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20257th80/10%25%+0.25
20/07/20257th16/116%14%-0.02
18/08/202512th28/10%21%+0.21
05/06/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
18/06/202610th33/10%25%+0.25
05/07/202614th33/10%0%0.00
13/09/202615th80/10%0%0.00