Devil Anse
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 90
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 15/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.28 |
| 08/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |