Guns And Glory
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 100
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 2nd | +5 |
| 2026-03-29 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 01/03/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 12/04/2025 | 6th | / | 50% | 62% | +0.12 |
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |