Telescopic
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 108
Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
41%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 25/10/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 21/11/2024 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |