2

The Hidden Chamber

4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 103

Churchill Downs · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 3f

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 95 par1/10C5OR 95C5 @ Churchill Downs 23/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 97 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 97 parC6 @ Turfway Park 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 100 · 1m2f Fas 121 · below its mark16/01/2026 · OR 100 par16/01C6OR 100C6 @ Turfway Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 99 · 1m4f 125 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 99 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 14/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 104 · 1m3f Fm 122 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 104 par14/05C6OR 104C5 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m3f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 108 parC6 @ Saratoga 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 101 · 1m3f Fm 126 · below its mark17/07/2026 · OR 101 par17/07C6OR 101C6 @ Saratoga 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 101 · 1m3f 126 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Kentucky Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 102 · 1m4f 122 · below its mark03/09/2026 · OR 102 par3/09C6OR 102projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kentucky Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-08-22Saratoga?6th6th0
2026-07-17Saratoga?5th5th0
2026-06-13Churchill Downs?6th5th+1
2026-05-14Churchill Downs?11th11th0
2026-03-29Turfway Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1029/0317/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength80%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20253rd13/266%75%+0.09
23/11/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
16/01/20265th7/282%60%-0.22
29/03/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
14/05/202611th12/137%0%-0.37
13/06/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
17/07/20265th9/153%56%+0.03
22/08/20266th12/137%17%-0.20
03/09/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29