6
She's Our Girl
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 87
Churchill Downs · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
41%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Keeneland | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -19.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |