Bearamour

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 85

Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.0

Today:

Class gap: 0.0

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Churchill Downs	?	6th	1st	+4	9.3
2026-08-09	Ellis Park	BHA83	3rd	7th	−3	3.0
2026-07-02	Colonial Downs	?	1st	2nd	−1	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength94%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/07/2026	1st	5/4	93%	100%	+0.07
09/08/2026	3rd	8/1	58%	67%	+0.09
12/09/2026	6th	33/1	0%	17%	+0.17